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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY Argentina @ 46¢ · 23,708 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet juanapxm took Argentina (buy) for $11.0k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+116American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.2%
- As American odds
- +116 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 18:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- juanapxm
- Tx
- 0xc2d7f0e7…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+53.8 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsArgentina price · entry 46¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $18.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $15.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |