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What this means. A wallet put $17.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.0k
SELL Yes @ 93.9¢ · 18,116 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x4607…d542 took Yes (sell) for $17.0k at an average 93.9¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93.9¢
- Implied odds
- 6.1%
- As American odds
- +1526 no vig
- Size
- $17.0k
- Placed
- Aug 30, 10:20 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 30, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x4607…d542
- Tx
- 0xc237cdee…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-54.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsYes price · entry 93.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.91M 4.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 74¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $17.6k | excluded |