← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
SELL Yes @ 74¢ · 15,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet OldZz took Yes (sell) for $11.5k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 25.8%
- As American odds
- +288 no vig
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- Aug 30, 10:24 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 30, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- OldZz
- Tx
- 0x774130b9…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -26 ptsYes price · entry 74¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.91M 4.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 93.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $17.6k | excluded |