← Live flags
US recession in 2025?missed
What this means. A wallet put $31.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US recession in 2025?missed$31.9k
SELL No @ 72¢ · 44,246 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0xac22…5442 took No (sell) for $31.9k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 28.0%
- Size
- $31.9k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 23:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jan 01, 04:23 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xac22…5442
- Tx
- 0xc1bd1918…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $124.6k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.5k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $12.4k | excluded |