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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY No @ 93.7¢ · 12,808 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet LiLaoShi2 took No (buy) for $12.0k at an average 93.7¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1486American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93.7¢
- Implied odds
- 93.7%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 09:26 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LiLaoShi2
- Tx
- 0xc147d3dc…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-35.0 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsNo price · entry 93.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $68.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $18.2k | excluded |