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What this means. A wallet put $24.6k on Katerina Siniakova, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakovaexcluded
$24.6k
BUY Katerina Siniakova @ 88¢ · 28,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Woaifacai took Katerina Siniakova (buy) for $24.6k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved Katerina Siniakova. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−725American odds
$1.00paid per share if Katerina Siniakova wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
88¢
Implied odds
87.9%
As American odds
−725 no vig
Size
$24.6k
Placed
Oct 23, 03:10 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 02:35 EDT
Result
Katerina Siniakova
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Woaifacai
Tx
0xc0e51206…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+17.3 pts
expected 2.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +12 pts
Katerina Siniakova price · entry 88¢ · resolved Katerina Siniakova
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 88¢ · $24.6k WHALE $24.6K @ 88¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina SiniakovaLOW BUY Katerina Siniakova @ 99.9¢ $72.2k
2.8× usual
100% c4acap1d agoexcluded