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What this means. A wallet put $28.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?excluded
$28.9k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 70,512 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet SMCAOMCRL took Yes (buy) for $28.9k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.0%
As American odds
+144 no vig
Size
$28.9k
Placed
Apr 14, 14:31 EDT
Market close
Apr 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
SMCAOMCRL
Tx
0xc0c7da2e…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+7.8 pts
expected 2.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts
Yes price · entry 41¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $28.9k WHALE $28.9K @ 41¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0x20d6…3856192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.2k0% berbisminsk192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.6k
2.3× usual
0% olegio192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% GrizzliesSuck192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.8k0% Netrol192d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.9k0% rndmb3192d agoexcluded