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Wild vs. Starsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $94.6k on Wild, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Wild vs. Starsexcluded$94.6k
BUY Wild @ 46¢ · 203,447 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Mosley1 took Wild (buy) for $94.6k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Wild. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $94.6k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+115American odds
$1.00paid per share if Wild wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.5%
- As American odds
- +115 no vig
- Size
- $94.6k
- Placed
- Apr 28, 20:11 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Wild
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Mosley1
- Tx
- 0xbed70a6b…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-8.5 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsWild price · entry 46¢ · resolved Wild
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wild vs. Stars | LOW BUY Wild @ 47¢ | $10.2k | excluded |