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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.6k
BUY No @ 52¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet tikstt2 took No (buy) for $15.6k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Sep 20, 03:08 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 11:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tikstt2
- Tx
- 0xbcdb996c…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+48.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsNo price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $12.7k | excluded |