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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?excluded
$12.7k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 25,829 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Telawin took Yes (buy) for $12.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$12.7k
Placed
Sep 20, 11:19 EDT
Market close
Sep 20, 11:30 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Telawin
Tx
0x4004fbf1…

Entry to resolution

Grade -49 pts
Yes price · entry 49¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $12.7k WHALE $12.7K @ 49¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $11.1k87% Flaznorp34d agoexcluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY No @ 51¢ $10.8k51% Flaznorp34d agoexcluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $10.4k52% p125234d agoexcluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $15.6k52% tikstt234d agocalled