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What this means. A wallet put $16.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.3k
BUY No @ 85¢ · 19,209 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet redvinny took No (buy) for $16.3k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−565American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- Size
- $16.3k
- Placed
- Feb 05, 13:53 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0xbb4531a4…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.2k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $32.7k | excluded |