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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
BUY No @ 95.6¢ · 12,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xdcc9…4534 took No (buy) for $11.9k at an average 95.6¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2173American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.6¢
- Implied odds
- 95.6%
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jan 12, 10:31 EST
- Market close
- Jan 18, 02:40 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xdcc9…4534
- Tx
- 0xb6273633…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+4.4 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsNo price · entry 95.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $130.7k 2.3× usual |
called |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | MED SELL No @ 96.8¢ | $50.1k | missed |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 97¢ | $30.2k | called |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $15.6k | called |