GigaBrainConsulting

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did +84.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+84.5 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.2

Flagged volume

$242.7k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±36.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$39.8k

Last 30 days −$0 · $3.09M volume · 2,144 trades · since Aug 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$39.8k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

58%

277 closed

Wallet age · markets

420d

258 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.2	+84.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 85¢	$16.9k	15%	220d ago	called
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 91¢	$18.2k	9%	240d ago	excluded
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	MED SELL No @ 96.8¢	$50.1k	3%	285d ago	missed
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢	$50.0k	97%	286d ago	called
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 89¢	$17.8k	11%	295d ago	missed
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$39.6k	1%	318d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢	$50.0k	98%	340d ago	excluded

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL No @ 85¢$16.9k

LOW GigaBrainConsulting · 220d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 91¢$18.2k

LOW GigaBrainConsulting · 240d ago

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?missed

SELL No @ 96.8¢$50.1k

MED GigaBrainConsulting · 285d ago

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?called

BUY No @ 96.7¢$50.0k

LOW GigaBrainConsulting · 286d ago

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?missed

SELL No @ 89¢$17.8k

LOW GigaBrainConsulting · 295d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$39.6k

LOW GigaBrainConsulting · 318d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.1¢$50.0k

LOW GigaBrainConsulting · 340d ago

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