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What this means. A wallet put $852.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$852.7k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 1,236,964 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1h4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gfjoigfsjoigsjoi took Yes (buy) for $852.7k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $852.7k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−222American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.9%
- As American odds
- −222 no vig
- Size
- $852.7k
- Placed
- Apr 11, 05:19 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gfjoigfsjoigsjoi
- Tx
- 0xb26e2c23…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+47.7 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -69 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 11.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |