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Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +47.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+47.7 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$4.25M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2.75M
Last 30 days +$0 · $22.89M volume · 1,936 trades · since Apr 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$2.75M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
70%
23 closed
Wallet age · markets
199d
22 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.5+47.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ $196.8k62% 181d agoexcluded
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ $518.4k
2.4× usual
52% 194d agoexcluded
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerHIGH BUY Jannik Sinner @ 54¢ $770.0k
3.6× usual
54% 194d agoexcluded
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerMED BUY Jannik Sinner @ 52¢ $177.7k52% 195d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ $85.1k65% 196d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢ $1.21M
5.6× usual
67% 196d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?MED BUY No @ 34¢ $43.3k34% 196d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢ $852.7k
4.0× usual
69% 196d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ $233.4k68% 196d agomissed
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?MED BUY No @ 48¢ $157.8k48% 198d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x36a3f1…