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Will France win on 2026-09-28?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $168.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-09-28?excluded$168.3k
BUY No @ 57¢ · 296,370 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet totoro3miyazaki took No (buy) for $168.3k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $168.3k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−131American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 56.8%
- As American odds
- −131 no vig
- Size
- $168.3k
- Placed
- Sep 28, 15:53 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- totoro3miyazaki
- Tx
- 0xb13df3a8…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-36.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsNo price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $69.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 57¢ | $398.2k | excluded |