KioskJammer

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?−$240Yes · avg 17¢ → 14¢ · $1,450 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?+$15Yes · avg 69¢ → 70¢ · $705 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?+$5Yes · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $425 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?−$8Yes · avg 26¢ → 26¢ · $382 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?−$131Yes · avg 19¢ → 14¢ · $321 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?−$125Yes · avg 8¢ → 5.5¢ · $275 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5+$72Under · avg 51¢ → 75¢ · $225 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?−$12Yes · avg 10¢ → 9.5¢ · $218

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$12.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$239.5k

Last 30 days −$76.5k · $8.40M volume · 11,176 trades · since Apr 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.10M

Open P&L · 49 positions

−$13.2k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

177d

1779 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$12.5k	0%	25d ago	excluded

Will France win on 2026-09-28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$12.5k

LOW KioskJammer · 25d ago

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