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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$20.3k

Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Flaznorp bought Over at 99.9¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 20,339 shares, Oct 28, 17:01 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on Over, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market resolved Over, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp bought Over for $20.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -27.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $20.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules