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Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $34.5k on not Patriots, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.5k
SELL Patriots @ 94.5¢ · 36,485 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet qwerkk took Patriots (sell) for $34.5k at an average 94.5¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $34.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.5¢
- Implied odds
- 5.5%
- As American odds
- +1718 no vig
- Size
- $34.5k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 17:56 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- qwerkk
- Tx
- 0xafbbd1df…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+16.1 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |