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Spurs vs. Timberwolvesexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $42.6k on not Spurs, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesexcluded$42.6k
SELL Spurs @ 99¢ · 43,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet redvinny took Spurs (sell) for $42.6k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $42.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 1.0%
- As American odds
- +9900 no vig
- Size
- $42.6k
- Placed
- May 09, 00:21 EDT
- Market close
- May 08, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0xaf8cb4e5…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $48.4k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $41.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | MED BUY Spurs @ 83¢ | $103.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 90¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Spurs @ 77¢ | $11.7k | excluded |