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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 0x716d…4206 took Yes (buy) for $14.5k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 57.9%
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 14:00 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x716d…4206
- Tx
- 0xae31507a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-31.2 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $16.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $10.7k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW SELL No @ 58¢ | $12.3k | missed |