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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +3.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.6 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$50.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$79.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.14M volume · 504 trades · since Dec 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$116.6k
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$35.7k
Closed-position win rate
68%
93 closed
Wallet age · markets
674d
126 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 3 | 2 | 1.9 | +3.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $16.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $13.9k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | LOW SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $10.1k | missed |
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb72b92…