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What this means. A wallet put $67.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$67.3k
BUY No @ 15¢ · 456,072 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet foodenjoyer took No (buy) for $67.3k at an average 15¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $67.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 15¢ means
15%chance the market gave
+578American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 15¢
- Implied odds
- 14.8%
- Size
- $67.3k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 12:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- foodenjoyer
- Tx
- 0xad653984…
This wallet's graded record
13/15+11.7 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |