← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 12,699 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet i400 took No (sell) for $12.6k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.2¢
- Implied odds
- 0.8%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 02:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- i400
- Tx
- 0xad4b407e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-81.9 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $11.6k | excluded |