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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?excluded
$13.1k
BUY No @ 98¢ · 13,416 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Anjun took No (buy) for $13.1k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.1k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98¢
Implied odds
98.0%
Size
$13.1k
Placed
May 20, 19:42 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Anjun
Tx
0xad45db33…
This wallet's graded record
7/11-1.1 pts
expected 7.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $19.4k0% SongXiaoFeng116d agoexcluded
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $35.6k
2.5× usual
0% budu100117d agoexcluded
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.5k100% elmcap2119d agoexcluded
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $10.1k100% elmcap2122d agoexcluded
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $16.1k1% J3lcExePrd1KE5M125d agoexcluded
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $10.7k1% J3lcExePrd1KE5M128d agoexcluded