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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on not Daniil Medvedev, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 64¢ · 16,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet beeemw took Daniil Medvedev (sell) for $10.2k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Daniil Medvedev. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 36.0%
- As American odds
- +178 no vig
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 08:43 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 09:10 EDT
- Result
- Daniil Medvedev
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- beeemw
- Tx
- 0xad1fa77a…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -36 ptsDaniil Medvedev price · entry 64¢ · resolved Daniil Medvedev · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | LOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 87¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 85¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | LOW BUY Alexander Bublik @ 14¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | LOW BUY Alexander Bublik @ 34¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 65¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 66¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $18.6k | 96¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $11.9k | 93¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $10.9k | 91¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $10.9k | 90¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $11.3k | 90¢ | 13h ago |
| NO Alexander Bublik | $11.0k | 86¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $11.4k | 86¢ | 13h ago |
| YES Daniil Medvedev | $13.3k | 68¢ | 13h ago |