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Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $50.2k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5excluded$50.2k
SELL Over @ 99.9¢ · 50,281 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Over (sell) for $50.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $50.2k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 13:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0xad1bcf82…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | MED SELL Over @ 91.2¢ | $67.4k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 99¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 26¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 87¢ | $17.5k | excluded |