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Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $67.4k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$67.4k
SELL Over @ 91.2¢ · 73,910 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA36 took Over (sell) for $67.4k at an average 91.2¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $67.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91.2¢
- Implied odds
- 8.8%
- As American odds
- +1031 no vig
- Size
- $67.4k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 13:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA36
- Tx
- 0x3ace6f67…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -9 ptsOver price · entry 91.2¢ · resolved Over · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 99¢ | $14.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Under @ 26¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 87¢ | $17.5k | excluded |