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What this means. A wallet put $16.9k on Under, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5excluded
$16.9k
BUY Under @ 41¢ · 41,338 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet gmanas took Under (buy) for $16.9k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.0%
As American odds
+144 no vig
Size
$16.9k
Placed
Feb 25, 11:47 EST
Market close
Feb 25, 12:45 EST
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
gmanas
Tx
0xab82b24e…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts
Under price · entry 41¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $16.9k WHALE $16.9K @ 41¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $144.9k
6.3× usual
0% kimi1986241d agoexcluded
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $94.9k0% hioa241d agoexcluded
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ $17.6k42% theyseemeloosintheyhatin241d agoexcluded