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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +45.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+45.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$83.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$164.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $13.42M volume · 6,464 trades · since Nov 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 475 closed
+$2.98M
Open P&L · 448 positions
−$2.83M
Closed-position win rate
96%
475 closed
Wallet age · markets
344d
890 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +45.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
 Kings vs. Golden Knights | LOW BUY Golden Knights @ 55¢ | $19.2k | called |
| Bruins vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Panthers @ 60¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
 Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Rybakina @ 69¢ | $28.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x14333d…