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What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on Norway, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancemissed
$14.3k
BUY Norway @ 36¢ · 39,960 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet suntori took Norway (buy) for $14.3k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+180American odds
$1.00paid per share if Norway wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
36¢
Implied odds
35.8%
As American odds
+180 no vig
Size
$14.3k
Placed
Jul 11, 00:01 EDT
Market close
Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
Result
England
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
suntori
Tx
0xa782c114…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -36 pts
Norway price · entry 36¢ · resolved England
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 36¢ · $14.3k WHALE $14.3K @ 36¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ $148.5k
3.7× usual
0% looloo8855104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ $168.7k
2.8× usual
0% Weaseloftheweek104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ $16.2k0% PMM888104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ $11.9k0% billy578104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ $12.1k0% 0x9e99…e6d3104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ $11.0k0% benj002104d agoexcluded