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What this means. A wallet put $116.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$116.3k
BUY No @ 80¢ · 146,266 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet ABCDE125 took No (buy) for $116.3k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $116.3k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−389American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.5%
- As American odds
- −389 no vig
- Size
- $116.3k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 10:15 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 20, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ABCDE125
- Tx
- 0xa56fd0fa…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-27.5 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsNo price · entry 80¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | LOW SELL No @ 77¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $118.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $10.0k | missed |