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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -22.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-22.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$109.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±41.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$203.2k
Last 30 days −$97.5k · $4.48M volume · 1,725 trades · since Jun 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$336.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
77%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
125d
752 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -22.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $10.0k | missed |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 80¢ | $27.2k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 59¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo | LOW SELL Andrey Rublev @ 83¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo | LOW SELL Andrey Rublev @ 65¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo | LOW BUY Andrey Rublev @ 66¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert | LOW SELL Ugo Humbert @ 49¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x45e47f…