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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Astralis, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Astralis @ 52¢ · 24,149 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Astralis (buy) for $12.6k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved paiN. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Astralis wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Jul 31, 12:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 12:10 EDT
- Result
- paiN
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xa56093ae…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsAstralis price · entry 52¢ · resolved paiN
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | LOW SELL paiN @ 99.9¢ | $47.4k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | LOW SELL paiN @ 99.9¢ | $84.5k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | LOW BUY paiN @ 68¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | LOW BUY paiN @ 73¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | LOW BUY Astralis @ 51¢ | $12.5k | excluded |