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What this means. A wallet put $13.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.9k
BUY No @ 96.1¢ · 14,442 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet exposito took No (buy) for $13.9k at an average 96.1¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2459American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.1¢
- Implied odds
- 96.1%
- Size
- $13.9k
- Placed
- Jan 11, 18:24 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- exposito
- Tx
- 0xa4610fce…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+7.0 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.2k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.3k 3.9× usual |
excluded |