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What this means. A wallet put $20.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?excluded
$20.6k
BUY No @ 36¢ · 57,200 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet SMCAOMCRL took No (buy) for $20.6k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+178American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
36¢
Implied odds
36.0%
As American odds
+178 no vig
Size
$20.6k
Placed
Mar 11, 13:44 EDT
Market close
Mar 11, 13:45 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
SMCAOMCRL
Tx
0xa4227fdd…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+7.8 pts
expected 2.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +64 pts
No price · entry 36¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 36¢ · $20.6k WHALE $20.6K @ 36¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% matanovik227d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $93.3k
3.6× usual
0% Supah9ga227d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.7k
2.0× usual
0% RN1227d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.7k
3.1× usual
0% Tirdenchi227d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $77.0k
3.3× usual
0% KingVon99227d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.6k0% cako227d agoexcluded