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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded
$13.6k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 22,222 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet LinkE5 took Yes (buy) for $13.6k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−158American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
61¢
Implied odds
61.3%
As American odds
−158 no vig
Size
$13.6k
Placed
Jul 09, 15:05 EDT
Market close
Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
LinkE5
Tx
0xa29147a3…
This wallet's graded record
3/10-25.3 pts
expected 5.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +39 pts
Yes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 61¢ · $13.6k WHALE $13.6K @ 61¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $38.3k0% CallMeMentalist107d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $20.1k0% Bibi555107d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $16.2k0% 0xe821…3128107d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $11.0k0% suntori LOSING107d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $14.0k0% LarryDaddy107d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $17.1k0% Barry0402107d agoexcluded