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What this means. A wallet put $98.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$98.9k
BUY No @ 98.9¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)4.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet pilimili took No (buy) for $98.9k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $98.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8991American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.9¢
- Implied odds
- 98.9%
- As American odds
- −8991 no vig
- Size
- $98.9k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 07:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pilimili
- Tx
- 0xa19cca62…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+9.6 pts
expected 7.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 2.1¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 2.2¢ | $23.8k | excluded |