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Rockets vs. Heatexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $22.4k on Rockets, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.4k
BUY Rockets @ 56¢ · 40,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x1b4d…e246 took Rockets (buy) for $22.4k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.4k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rockets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $22.4k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 15:33 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 15:30 EST
- Result
- Heat
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x1b4d…e246
- Tx
- 0xa12d6f9e…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-8.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -56 ptsRockets price · entry 56¢ · resolved Heat
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $156.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 99¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 97¢ | $17.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Rockets @ 54¢ | $39.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Rockets @ 61¢ | $15.0k | excluded |