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What this means. A wallet put $22.4k on Rockets, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Rockets vs. Heatexcluded
$22.4k
BUY Rockets @ 56¢ · 40,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x1b4d…e246 took Rockets (buy) for $22.4k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.4k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rockets wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
56¢
Implied odds
56.0%
As American odds
−127 no vig
Size
$22.4k
Placed
Feb 28, 15:33 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 15:30 EST
Result
Heat
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x1b4d…e246
Tx
0xa12d6f9e…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-8.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -56 pts
Rockets price · entry 56¢ · resolved Heat
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 56¢ · $22.4k WHALE $22.4K @ 56¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Rockets vs. HeatLOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ $16.8k0% hanlun237d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. HeatLOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ $156.1k
2.1× usual
0% 0x8dbf…53be237d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. HeatLOW BUY Heat @ 99¢ $10.6k99% Qulang555237d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. HeatLOW BUY Heat @ 97¢ $17.5k97% ACEE123237d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. HeatLOW BUY Rockets @ 54¢ $39.8k
2.2× usual
54% 000.00237d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. HeatLOW BUY Rockets @ 61¢ $15.0k61% KaneAnalytics237d agoexcluded