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What this means. A wallet put $49.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.0k
BUY Yes @ 54¢ · 90,270 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Winnerdinnerchickenjr took Yes (buy) for $49.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−119American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.3%
- As American odds
- −119 no vig
- Size
- $49.0k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 21:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Winnerdinnerchickenjr
- Tx
- 0x9ff215ff…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 93.4¢ | $96.7k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $37.1k | excluded |