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What this means. A wallet put $29.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.5k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet germantony123 took No (buy) for $29.5k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- As American odds
- −6150 no vig
- Size
- $29.5k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 14:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- germantony123
- Tx
- 0x9f55b4a2…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-7.4 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 2.1¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 2.2¢ | $23.8k | excluded |