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Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $170.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded$170.2k
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 331,609 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $170.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $170.2k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−106American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.3%
- As American odds
- −106 no vig
- Size
- $170.2k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 17:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x9e306c49…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $48.1k | excluded |