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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on Astralis, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Aexcluded
$12.8k
BUY Astralis @ 51¢ · 25,130 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet HBAFlover98 took Astralis (buy) for $12.8k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved FURIA. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Astralis wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$12.8k
Placed
Feb 03, 11:23 EST
Market close
Feb 03, 10:30 EST
Result
FURIA
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
HBAFlover98
Tx
0x9dd6deef…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-14.6 pts
expected 2.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Astralis price · entry 51¢ · resolved FURIA
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $12.8k WHALE $12.8K @ 51¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.6× usual
0% Donghui262d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% 0xf5ab…0fe6262d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ $10.4k0% ThreeLions262d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ $17.0k0% KING7777777262d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ALOW BUY FURIA @ 99.9¢ $46.3k100% 0xfe96…c6e6262d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AMED BUY Astralis @ 49¢ $121.6k
3.0× usual
49% bossoskil1262d agoexcluded