WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $25.9k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Spursmissed
$25.9k
BUY Spurs @ 88¢ · 29,367 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet Pajamapants took Spurs (buy) for $25.9k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−735American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
88¢
Implied odds
88.0%
As American odds
−735 no vig
Size
$25.9k
Placed
May 02, 08:37 EDT
Market close
May 04, 00:00 EDT
Result
Timberwolves
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Pajamapants
Tx
0x9d9839f6…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+27.4 pts
expected 7.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -88 pts
Spurs price · entry 88¢ · resolved Timberwolves
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 88¢ · $25.9k WHALE $25.9K @ 88¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $21.2k0% 0x8a6c…0b3f172d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% drakefan104172d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $17.6k0% polikujh312172d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $53.8k
3.2× usual
0% 98unfsd172d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% 0x18bb…e5cd172d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. SpursLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $14.1k0% Mryadav03172d agoexcluded