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What this means. A wallet put $31.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 17% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.6k
SELL Yes @ 83¢ · 37,931 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet Wickier took Yes (sell) for $31.6k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 17% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 16.8%
- Size
- $31.6k
- Placed
- Jul 26, 12:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Wickier
- Tx
- 0x9a2affd5…
This wallet's graded record
7/11-2.2 pts
expected 7.2 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -17 ptsYes price · entry 83¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |