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What this means. A wallet put $190.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$190.0k
BUY No @ 48¢ · 395,833 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet skyblue77 took No (buy) for $190.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $190.0k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $190.0k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 00:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- skyblue77
- Tx
- 0x99aab7c4…
This wallet's graded record
7/7+52.6 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsNo price · entry 48¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $28.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $34.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $10.3k | excluded |