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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$10.7k

Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti

omnibus-076daa bought Lorenzo Musetti at 72¢. The price gave that side a 72% chance. 14,884 shares, Oct 29, 12:43 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Lorenzo Musetti, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market resolved Arthur Fery, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet omnibus-076daa bought Lorenzo Musetti for $10.7k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied 72% for the side they took. The market resolved Arthur Fery. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +51.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $10.7k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lorenzo Musetti wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -72 pts
Lorenzo Musetti price · entry 72¢ · resolved Arthur Fery
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 72¢ · $10.7k WHALE $10.7K @ 72¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiLOW SELL Arthur Fery @ 99.9¢ $22.5k0% Luzzzer12h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiMED Arthur Fery UP +24.0 pts $317.0k
24h vol
52% —13h agoExcluded
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiLOW BUY Arthur Fery @ 49¢ $11.0k49% Luzzzer13h agoExcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Lorenzo Musetti$20.1k44¢13h ago
YES Lorenzo Musetti$47.2k69¢14h ago
NO Arthur Fery$21.9k72¢14h ago
YES Lorenzo Musetti$16.7k70¢14h ago
YES Lorenzo Musetti$30.5k79¢14h ago
YES Lorenzo Musetti$14.8k74¢15h ago
NO Arthur Fery$10.1k74¢15h ago