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What this means. A wallet put $40.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.3k
BUY Yes @ 80¢ · 50,594 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $40.3k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−390American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.6%
- As American odds
- −390 no vig
- Size
- $40.3k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 22:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x8fee6d7a…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -80 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 93.4¢ | $96.7k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $37.1k | excluded |