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What this means. A wallet put $40.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.2 pts over 60 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.5k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 65,254 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Zzzz87 took Yes (buy) for $40.5k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.5k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 62.0%
- As American odds
- −163 no vig
- Size
- $40.5k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 14:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Zzzz87
- Tx
- 0x8f56b049…
This wallet's graded record
36/60+0.2 pts
expected 35.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |