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What this means. A wallet put $16.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.2k
BUY Yes @ 2.4¢ · 673,803 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $16.2k at an average 2.4¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 2¢ means
2%chance the market gave
+4067American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 2.4¢
- Implied odds
- 2.4%
- As American odds
- +4067 no vig
- Size
- $16.2k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 19:17 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x88ebdac5…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
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|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.3k 4.4× usual |
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| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
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| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k 2.1× usual |
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| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $90.0k | excluded |